IFDP Paper: The Design and Effect of Tariff Retaliation: Evidence from the European Union
Ece Fisgin, Johannes Fleck, Keith RichardsWe show that the EU’s 2018 retaliation against US steel and aluminum tariffs targeted goods with low US import dependence and high substitutability. For the majority of tariffed goods, the US share of EU imports declined notably and remained below pre-2018 levels even after the retaliatory tariffs were lifted, reflecting asymmetric effects of tariffs on trade diversion.