Elizabeth Klee, Adair Morse, and Chaehee ShinFinancing cost differentials tilt the calculus for households toward electric vehicles (EVs). Using 85 million observations on U.S. auto loans, we study households’ credit risk by engine type, seek to uncover the sources and ask if credit risk differentials are being priced.
Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves has today confirmed that Professor Alan Taylor will join the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on 2 September for a 3-year term, replacing current external member Professor Jonathan Haskel who has been on the MPC since September 2018.
Robert Adams, Lisa Chen, and Michael ChernousovThis paper discusses the findings from the 2020 Survey of Finance Companies.
We analyze how corporate reorganization and liquidation change labor reallocation during bankruptcy using randomized judge assignments and linked Portuguese employer-employee and firm data. Reorganization reduces the negative effect of bankruptcy on employee earnings, even with most workers leaving reorganized firms. We examine plausible mechanisms and find evidence that the retention of general skills and improved job-match quality contribute meaningfully to this effect. The average cost of labor misallocation caused by reorganization is small.
Hiroatsu TanakaI study the dynamics of default-free bond yields and term premia using a novel equilibrium term structure model with a New-Keynesian core and imperfect information about productivity. Imperfect information can justify a shock to signals about productivity that does not lead to actual changes in productivity, which can be interpreted as a demand shock.
Following the issuance of our new King Charles III banknotes in June 2024, low serial number banknotes were auctioned for charity alongside a public ballot.
Christopher Gust, Edward Herbst, and David Lopez-SalidoUnder finite horizon planning, households and firms evaluate a full set of state-contingent paths along which the economy might evolve out to a finite horizon but have limited ability to process events beyond that horizon.
Bence Bardoczy, Jae Sim, and Andreas TischbirekWe study the consequences of shocks to the household wealth distribution in dynamic general equilibrium by characterizing the rate at which excess wealth is depleted.
Nils Gornemann, Sebastian Hildebrand, and Keith KuesterIn a simple New Keynesian open economy setting, we analyze how local input shortages influence policy transmission and equilibrium determinacy. Shortages increase the elasticity of the local price of the scarce factor to domestic economic activity, affecting the cyclicality of marginal costs and incomes. As a result, the slope of both the Phillips and the IS curve is altered, crucially influencing monetary and fiscal policy transmission.
Trang Hoang, Devashish Mitra, and Hoang PhamWe examine the impact of an export market expansion created by the US-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) on labor market competition among Vietnamese manufacturing firms. We measure distortionary wedges between equilibrium marginal revenue products of labor (MRPL) and wages nonparametrically and find that the median firm pays workers 59% of their MRPL. The BTA permanently decreases labor market distortion in manufacturing by 3.4%, mainly for domestic private firms.
