Euro area rent developments: insights from the CES

The ECB Consumer Expectations Survey (CES) provides regular and timely information on household rent expenditure. This information has been used to analyse developments and to construct an indicator for rent growth that is largely free of composition effects from respondents entering or leaving the panel of survey respondents. Combined with the rich micro data from the CES, this new indicator allows for a detailed analysis of rent growth and its drivers. According to this novel CES-based indicator, rent growth in the euro area peaked in the third quarter of 2023. It then declined but has remained above 3% up to the third quarter of 2024. Given the ease with which rent adjustments can be made, rent growth per square metre has been more than proportionally driven by new rental contracts.